Monday, December 19, 2011

How long will it take a non-Johnson/Gibbs driver to win a race?

Well, Montoya had the strongest car in the last New Hampshire race, and set the track record, so he'll pobably be a factor. For Daytona, the ECR drivers have won both plate races already this year (McMurray - Daytona, Harvick - Talladega), they swept the top 3 at Talladega, and had all 5 cars in the top 15 in the Daytona 500, and McMurray also won at Talladega last fall, and won the 2007 race at Daytona, so the entire ECR group will be strong at Daytona.Chicagoland has been good to Jeff Gordon in the past, and he has been the strongest on the 1.5 mile tracks this year. I think he'll be tough to beat there. For Indy, Juan Montoya will look to finish the deal this year, Pocono can come down to any kind of strategy leading in the closing stages. Hamlin has been lucky the past two races there to have the holes open up for him in the end, and letting him take the win, but that type of race could go to anybody depending on where the holes open up, or if there are enough cautions to have a viable winning strategy. Watkins Glen will probably be a lot like Sonoma, cars off the track, and a variety of drivers at the front. Marcos Ambrose will be like a bull in a china shop, I can ure you that. Michigan is another notorious fuel-mileage track, and could lead to an upset winner late, Bristol is just that, bristol, and anything can take anyone out. The past few races have all had a big crash involving several top 10 cars, and that could easily wipe out Johnson, and the Gibbs cars just as easily as it could wipe out anyone else. Atlanta last year came down to Kasey Kahne, Kevin Harvick, and Juan Montoya, and Kurt Busch won there in the spring, so those four must be considered favourites along with Jeff Gordon who has been great on all the 1.5 mile tracks this year. Tony Stewart loves Richmond, and Jeff Burton has also been really good there lately, they will be challenging for a win. Then its back to New Hampshire. So, while they won't not win every race, Gibbs and Johnson are going to have real competition up ahead.

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